There are a number of things that can classify a player as a fantasy football sleeper; it can be a player who has produced but had limited opportunities or a guy, who’s raw but has the talent to excel and is ready to make a big leap in terms of fantasy production.
In the case of Oakland Raiders wide receiver Denarius Moore, it is all about talent, cause has an extraordinary amount of it.
Now anyone that has followed the FantasyPPR.com 2012 fantasy football sleeper series, knows that when it comes to receivers, one of the biggest statistical indicators of performance is yards per target.
However, Moore’s yards per target is actually lower than other sleeper receivers identified so far, as Moore averages 8.13 yards per target, while Robert Meachem and Brandon LaFell were each well over 10.
Moore also caught a touchdown just once every 15.1 targets and also hauled in just 43.4 percent of the passes thrown his way.
So you may be asking yourself how can Moore possibly be a sleeper when his per target metrics are average and in some cases below average.
The answer is that when it comes to fantasy football, you cannot always place your faith in statistics. Yes, I said it and its true. Sometimes you have to trust your eyes and your gut. If you have an inkling on a certain player, you need to go with it and that is exactly the feeling I have when it comes to Moore.
The guy may not have been the most efficient receiver in the NFL last season but he was one of the more explosive.
In his first NFL season, the rookie fifth-rounder out of East Tennessee State caught 33 passes for 618 yards and five touchdown. His yards per catch average was an impressive 18.7 and he also caught 12 passes of over 20 yards. Meaning when he got the ball in his hands, he made things happen. And he did it in only 13 games.
Moore came into the league extremely raw but possessing unlimited potential. The 6’0″ 195-pound receiver runs a 4.43 in the forty-yard dash and also has a vertical jump of 36 inches.
Last season, Moore showed just what his raw natural talent can do but by the end of the season, the last six games in particular, he began to show some consistency, averaging 3.8 receptions for 67.7 yards with a total of three touchdowns.
Take those numbers and project them over the course of a 16-game season and here’s what you get: 60 receptions for 1082 yards and eight touchdowns.
Those numbers are easily good enough for Moore to be a solid WR2 in PPR fantasy football leagues and given the fact that he will have a full offseason to get comfortable with quarterback Carson Palmer, who joined the team after a week 6 trade with the Bengals, and a 1,000 yard season in 2012 certainly seems like a reasonable expectation.
So, if you are looking for a great value in your PPR fantasy football draft look to Moore, who could be a great value in the mid-to-late rounds of fantasy football drafts.
Here is a highlight video of Moore’s rookie season: