It is hard to call someone a sleeper when everyone in the world of pro football knows about him. But in the world of fantasy football, Robert Griffin III is a bit of an unknown. What exactly is he going to be as a fantasy quarterback? What kind of production can fantasy owners expect?
Griffin or RG3 (as he will called from now on) is definitely an intriguing prospect that fantasy owners must take the time to evaluate. Projecting the value and production of a rookie quarterback is always difficult; the difference between playing quarterback in the Big 12 and the NFL are astronomical and how well Rg3 makes that adjustment, will go a long way to determining what kind of fantasy player he will be in 2012.
Throughout the 2012 FantasyPPR.com sleeper series, I have used a lot of statistics to back up my reasons for a guy being a sleeper. However, since there is no way I trust to convert college numbers to NFL numbers very accurately, this analysis is going to be off my gut and my eyes. Numbers are very important when it comes to fantasy football but you have to trust your eyes as well.
With Griffin its hard not to watch him and not feel you are looking at greatness. When he has the ball in his hands he makes things happen. Simple at that. The question is how soon will that greatness translate to the NFL? Will it begin this season or will it take RG3 some time to adjust?
It will most definitely take Griffin to adjust in the passing game; coming from the spread system he mastered while at Baylor to head coach Mike Shanahan’s west coast offense will take some work but there is reason to believe RG3 can produce big numbers, while learning on the run.
The key for Griffin will be, you guessed it, running the football. Amazingly, Griffin rushed 2,254 yards in his college career while also adding 33 rushing touchdowns.
Those running skills will help him acclimate to the NFL and help him produce consistent points for fantasy owners. Running quarterbacks always do well as fantasy players and with a guy like Griffin 40-50 passing yards a game is a reasonable expectation.
Furthermore, Griffin has enough talented receivers alongside him that he should be able to be at least an average passer as a rookie. The Redskins signed free agents Pierre Garcon and Josh Morgan, adding to a receiving core that also includes returning players Santana Moss, Leonard Hankerson and Anthony Armstrong, as well at tight ends Fred Davis and Chris Cooley.
Currently Griffin is outside the top-10 in our FantasyPPR.com quarterback rankings, yet Griffin should easily clear 4,000 total yards and should produce 25-30 total touchdowns.
Those numbers should be good enough to make RG3 a low-end no.1 fantasy quarterback, meaning that no matter what type of league you play in this fall, he needs to be on your radar when your fantasy draft rolls around cause Griffin is one the few sleepers at the quarterback position that could turn out to be a true difference maker in 2012.